| Title |
Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Disaster Risk in North Korea based on RCP8.5 Climate Change Scenario |
| Authors |
정세진(Jeung, Se-Jin) ; 김병식(Kim, Byung-Sik) ; 채수권(Chae, Soo Kwon) |
| DOI |
https://doi.org/10.12652/Ksce.2018.38.6.0809 |
| Keywords |
RCP기후변화시나리오;북한;설계강우부하;재해영향지수 RCP climate change scenario;North Korea;Design rainfall load;Disaster impact factor |
| Abstract |
In this paper, in order to evaluate the impact of future climate change in North Korea, we collected the climate data of each station in North Korea provided by WMO and expanded the lack of time series data. Using the RCP climate change scenario, And the impact of climate change on disasters using local vulnerability to disasters in the event of a disaster. In order to evaluate this, the 11 cities in North Korea were evaluated for Design Rainfall Load, human risk index (HRI), and disaster impact index (DII) at each stage. As a result, Jaffe increased from C grade to B grade in the Future 1 period. At Future 2, North Hwanghae proved to be dangerous as it was, and Gangwon-do and Hwanghae-do provincial grade rose to C grade. In the case of Future 3, Pyongyang City dropped from C grade to D grade, Hamgyong and Gyeongsang City descend from B grade to C grade, Gangwon-do and Jagangdo descend from C grade to D grade and Pyongyang city descend from C grade to D grade. Respectively. |