| Title |
A Study on Risk Analysis and Management Plan for Development Projects |
| Authors |
정민영(Jeong, Min Young) ; 이민재(Lee, Min Jae) |
| DOI |
https://doi.org/10.12652/Ksce.2022.42.2.0229 |
| Keywords |
개발사업; AHP분석; 민감도분석; 리스크 관리 Development projects; AHP analysis; Sensitivity analysis; Risk management |
| Abstract |
With rapid industrialization since the 1960s, development projects have contributed to the development of the national economy. In addition to the development projects promoted by the government, private project operators are also promoting development projects for reasons such as increased public convenience, insufficient financing of SOC assets, and expansion of their own development projects other than public orders. However, as the economy has been stagnating due to several factors such as continued supply of facilities for decades and recent COVID-19, the success of the development projects are unsure these days. Therefore, this study attempted to analyze project costs through the case of such development projects, and to present a plan to judge and manage the risks of each project cost item in advance. The AHP technique, which is widely used as a risk factor selection method for existing development projects, was used, and items were determined through interviews with experts related to development projects in order to stratify the upper and lower subjects of the risk. We analyzed how the derived risk factors affect the business performance through sensitivity analysis, and finally substituted the risk factors management plan into the risk response strategy and suggested. |