| Title |
An Improved Algorithm of the Daily Peak Load Forecasting fair the Holidays |
| Authors |
송경빈(Song, Gyeong-Bin) ; 구본석(Gu, Bon-Seok) ; 백영식(Baek, Yeong-Sik) |
| Keywords |
load forecasting ; fuzzy linear regression |
| Abstract |
High accuracy of the load forecasting for power systems improves the security of the power system and generation cost. However, the forecasting problem is difficult to handle due to the nonlinear and the random-like behavior of system loads as well as weather conditions and variation of economical environments. So far. many studies on the problem have been made to improve the prediction accuracy using deterministic, stochastic, knowledge based and artificial neural net(ANN) method. In the conventional load forecasting method, the load forecasting maximum error occurred for the holidays on Saturday and Monday. In order to reduce the load forecasting error of the daily peak load for the holidays on Saturday and Monday, fuzzy concept and linear regression theory have been adopted into the load forecasting problem. The proposed algorithm shows its good accuracy that the average percentage errors are 2.11% in 1996 and 2.84% in 1997. |