| Title |
Development of Short-Term Load Forecasting Method by Analysis of Load Characteristics during Chuseok Holiday |
| Authors |
권오성(Kwon, Oh-Sung) ; 송경빈(Song, Kyung-Bin) |
| DOI |
https://doi.org/10.5370/KIEE.2011.60.12.2215 |
| Keywords |
Load forecasting ; Fuzzy linear regression ; Load pattern ; Data selection ; Special day |
| Abstract |
The accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient power system operation and the system marginal price decision of the electricity market. So far, errors of load forecasting for Chuseok Holiday are very big compared with forecasting errors for the other special days. In order to improve the accuracy of load forecasting for Chuseok Holiday, selection of input data, the daily normalized load patterns and load forecasting model are investigated. The efficient data selection and daily normalized load pattern based on fuzzy linear regression model is proposed. The proposed load forecasting method for Chuseok Holiday is tested in recent 5 years from 2006 to 2010, and improved the accuracy of the load forecasting compared with the former research. |