| Title |
Net-load Forecasting Method for the PV Integrated Distribution Line Using Hybrid Regression Model |
| Authors |
신창훈(Chang-hoon Shin) ; 차한주(Hanju Cha) |
| DOI |
https://doi.org/10.5370/KIEE.2023.72.9.1029 |
| Keywords |
ARIMA model; MLR model; Accuracy measure; Net-load forecasting; PV integrated distribution line |
| Abstract |
This paper proposes a net-load forecasting method for the PV integrated distribution line using hybrid regression model. The hybrid model is combined such that an ARIMA model is assigned for pure load forecasting and an MLR model using weather forecasting information is established for PV generation forecasting. Therefore, the hybrid model enables to forecast net-load of the distribution line with better accuracy than that of ARIMA only model. The validity of the proposed method is verified through the accuracy analysis based on the forecasting results of a real distribution line with its actual load, PV generation and net-load data. The proposed method can be widely applied to other studies such as overload analysis, load transfer planing and ESS scheduling of a distribution line. |