Title A Study on Changes and Projection of Residential Conditions by Time Series due to Changing of Population Structure
Authors 양혜연(Yang, Hyeyeon) ; 김태일(Kim, Taeil)
DOI https://doi.org/10.5659/JAIK.2021.37.12.119
Page pp.119-127
ISSN 2733-6247
Keywords Population Structure Changes; Housing Demand Groups; Residential Conditions; Aged Society; Time Series Analysis
Abstract This study aimed to obtain basic data in order to seek directions for a long-term living in-place environment in the future considering the new elderly groups of the baby boomers, who have been key housing demand groups for the past 30 years. The study analyzed the time series changes in residential situations using Resident Registration Data, Data for estimating future population, and 2% data from the sample of the population and Housing Census (A Type) from 1985 to 2020 when baby boomers enter the elderly. Through this, the study tried to prospect changes in housing demand by life cycle and suggest the direction of the residential environment in consideration of the diversity of life style and regional housing conditions along the aging life cycle after the preliminary aging period. As a result of analyzing the qualitative and quantitative changes in housing demand in the future due to the entry of the baby boomers into the elderly, it is predicted that housing demand will increase rapidly along the aging stage of the current preliminary elderly group. Also, in the process of responding to the aging housing demand, diversity of housing options is required in consideration of the diversity of lifestyles by household. In addition, as the demand to continuous living in the residential area (Aging in Place) increases, regional residential factor analysis was conducted not only to improve the quality of the house itself but also to consider the settlement environment considering regional characteristics.