Title Development and Data-Driven Evaluation ofInternal Heat Gain Prediction-Based MPC for HVAC Systems
Authors 윤우승(Yun, Woo-Seung) ; 유원택(Ryu, Wontaek) ; 서현철(Seo, Hyuncheol)
DOI https://doi.org/10.5659/JAIK.2025.41.7.353
Page pp.353-364
ISSN 2733-6247
Keywords Model Predictive Control; Internal Heat Gain; Building Energy Management
Abstract This study presents a method for continuously predicting internal heat gains (IHG) using plug and lighting power data, which are generally more accessible than occupancy data. In addition, a procedure is introduced for effectively integrating these dynamic IHG predictions into a multi-objective Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework. To reflect the dynamic behavior of IHG in real buildings, a Modelica simulation environment was developed using long-term measured data on occupancy, plug loads, and lighting loads. The impact of dynamically incorporating IHG variations on MPC performance was evaluated over a one-month period. Results showed a 4 percent reduction in heating energy use and a 32 percent decrease in air quality discomfort, although thermal discomfort increased by 14 percent. These findings suggest that in a multi-objective MPC framework, the accuracy of disturbance predictions, particularly those related to occupancy, can strongly influence air quality comfort. They also emphasize the importance of carefully adjusting the weighting between energy consumption and thermal and air quality comfort, depending on the specific goals and priorities of each application.