Title A Study on the Development of an Embodied Carbon Estimation Model through IFC Automatic Generation and λ-Correction Based on Building Input Information
Authors 강찬혁(Kang, Chan-Hyeok) ; 정보경(Jung, Bokyung) ; 이태규(Lee, Tae-Kyu) ; 권영철(Kwon, Young-Cheol) ; 최창호(Choi, Chang-Ho)
DOI https://doi.org/10.5659/JAIK.2026.42.3.251
Page pp.251-260
ISSN 2733-6247
Keywords Building information modeling; Industry foundation classes; Embodied carbon; Life cycle assessment; Building attributes; Cohort approach; Machine learning
Abstract This study presents a framework for estimating embodied carbon in buildings by integrating automated IFC generation with A-correction. Six basic inputs were used to generate IFC models: gross floor area, number of floors, floor height, structural type, year of completion, and building use. Preset values for material thickness, density, and surcharge rates were applied, and Environmental Product Declaration data were linked to calculate baseline emissions. The baseline IFC results captured only 5 to 20 percent of actual values, indicating systematic underestimation. To improve accuracy, three correction approaches were tested. The first was a Scaled method using a global X factor. The second was a Cohort-based approach using K-nearest neighbors. The third applied machine learning through LightGBM regression. The analysis was conducted on 304 buildings, with 260 used for training and 44 for testing. The Scaled method showed poor performance, with R equals 0.084 and MAPE equals 69.0 percent. The Cohort-based method demonstrated limited stability, with R equals 0.454 and MAPE equals 113.1 percent. In contrast, the machine learning model achieved the highest accuracy, with R greater than or equal to 0.803 and MAPE equals 23.3 percent, while maintaining stable predictions across different building types and scales. These results demonstrate that embodied carbon can be reasonably estimated for existing buildings using minimal input data and without design drawings. Combining BIM IFC automation with AI-based correction significantly improves the reliability of life cycle assessment and supports carbon-neutral decision making.