| Title |
Short-term Reactive Power Load Forecasting Using Multiple Time-Series Model |
| Authors |
Hyo-Sang Lee ; Jong-Man Cho ; Woo-Hyun Park ; Jin-O Kim |
| Keywords |
OLS(Ordinary Least Squares) ; Critical Value ; MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error) |
| Abstract |
This paper shows that active and reactive power load have significant positive relationship and there exist two types of relationship between them using Test Statistics. In investigating the cross plots at every hour, we found out that from 0 to 8 hours, there relationships are linear, while from 9 to 23 hours, they are two piece-wise linear. Also, reactive power loads was estimated and forecasted using active power load as the explanary variable with OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) regression methods. MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) for each model is calculated for one-hour ahead forecasting. |