Mobile QR Code QR CODE : Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers

Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers

ISO Journal TitleJ Korean Inst. IIIum. Electr. Install. Eng.
Title Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting Algorithm Using Multiple Regression Method
Authors Kyung-Bin Song ; Rae-Jun Park ; Kyeong-Hwan Kim ; Jong-Ryul Won
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.5207/JIEIE.2017.31.11.069
Page pp.69-74
ISSN 1225-1135
Keywords Electrical Energy Forecasting Algorithm ; Multiple Regression Model ; Power System
Abstract This paper proposes a electrical energy consumption forecasting algorithm using multiple regression analysis method that takes into GDP, population and monthly converted weekdays. In order to consider the uncertainty of the future temperature, forecasting monthly electrical energy consumption is applied the temperature sensitivity of the energy on the average temperature of the past 30 years based on multiple regression analysis algorithm. The proposed prediction model is generated based on the past five years' load data. Test results show that the accuracy of the proposed algorithm is 97.64% and the maximum error is 4.25% through 2010 to 2014.