Title |
A Study on the Estimation of Macroscopic Interrupted Energy Assessment Costs Using Linear Regression Analysis for the Construction of the Next-Generation Distribution Intelligence System (ADMS) in a Carbon-Neutral System |
DOI |
http://doi.org/10.5207/JIEIE.2023.37.6.060 |
Keywords |
Carbon; Carbon-neutrality; GDP; Network |
Abstract |
The rise of the carbon-neutrality issue requires changes in the methodology of estimating supply interruption costs. The traditional methodology did not consider carbon emission costs, In the carbon-neutral regime, however, it is necessary to estimate supply interruption costs including carbon emission costs for the introduction of the next-generation distribution intelligence system. Therefore, this study analyzed the supply interruption costs of South Korea from a macro perspective using linear regression analysis from 2012 to 2022. The analysis results showed that the proportion of carbon emission costs in the supply interruption costs was about 0.076%. This is because it is a variable dependent on the low supply interruption power amount. The results of this study are expected to increase the justification for introducing a system with supply interruption cost estimation including carbon emission costs for developing countries that have high supply interruption power amount and want to introduce the next-generation distribution intelligence system. In addition, it is expected to enhance the overseas expansion opportunities for domestic companies. In addition, the supply interruption cost index estimated by using a macro approach with carbon emission costs and GDP is useful for analyzing the impact on the entire power network, and more accurate prediction of supply interruption cost will make a great contribution to power consumption and supply orientation. |