Title The Analysis and Forecasting Model for Maintenance Costs Considering Elapsed Years of Old Long-Term Public Rental Housing
Authors Jung, Yong-Chan ; Jin, Zheng-Xun ; Hyun, Chang-Taek ; Lee, Sanghoon
DOI https://dx.doi.org/10.6106/KJCEM.2022.23.3.083
Page pp.83-94
ISSN 2005-6095
Keywords Old Long-Term Public Rental Housing; Maintenance Costs; Elapsed Years; Long-term Repair Plan
Abstract The number of public rental housing has increased according to the government’s「Housing Welfare Roadmap (2017)」, and facility maintenance costs for the demand of improvement of performance and residential standards due to the aging of long-term public housing are significantly increasing. Consequently, the financial burden of public housing rental business for maintaining stocked housing is aggravated. However, there is a lack of objective data to analyze the size of the maintenance costs that are executed by the type of repair work, and the elapsed years of the aged long-term public rental housing. This study analyzes the execution status of 33 long-term public rental housing complexes located in Seoul for 14 to 28 years of elapsed years based on the data of maintenance costs. In addition, this study proposes a model to predict the maintenance costs by elapsed years by dividing 'Long-term Repair Plan Work and Government-Funded Project [Y1]', 'Planned Repair Work and General & Unplanned Repair Work [Y2]', and 'Total maintenance costs [Y3]'. It is intended to be used as basic data for the establishment of the maintenance plan at the stage of setting up the budget and the establishment of the sustainable operation plan for public rental housing